Polling variables

Nate shares thoughts garnered from Ann Seltzer, his top rated pollster. This makes me wonder, could Obama get about 55% of the national popular vote and sweep most of the redder Missouri, Indiana, Ohio, North Carolina, and Florida tossups?

At 39 days out there are still too many variables to say it's at all likely, but combined with the cellphone effect, widespread Dem voter enthusiasm, Bush's near-future legacy, and the state of the economy, this is beginning to look like a real possibility.