Gut feeling for some time has been that MO and NC will barely go blue and IN barely red. But they're too close to call with any confidence.
If McCain performs better than I expect, I can see him taking Florida, but not much else. If Obama performs better than expected he could take Georgia as the turnout there is insane and Bob Barr is a native son.
I don't think we know enough about what's going on up in North Dakota and Montana, as those are recent shifts.
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